Keir Starmer has returned from his trip to the Far East, securing valuable concessions from Chinese President Xi Jinping. Despite interference from Donald Trump, there were no significant issues during the high-stakes Beijing visit. The focus now shifts to domestic matters, with talks of an upcoming by-election in Greater Manchester stirring conversations.
Scheduled for February 26, the by-election in the safe Labour stronghold of Gorton and Denton will determine the successor to Andrew Gwynne following his resignation. The decision to block Andy Burnham’s return to Westminster by Labour’s governing body is seen as a risky move that could backfire, according to some MPs.
Concerns are raised about losing the seat and the potential implications for Keir Starmer’s leadership. However, there is optimism within the Labour camp about their chances of victory. Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice suggests that the by-election could be a tight contest among Labour, Reform, the Greens, and the Workers’ Party.
The competition is unpredictable, with various factors at play, including voter sentiment and strategic voting. Luke Tryl, another polling expert, highlights that the race is primarily between Labour, Reform UK, and the Greens, influenced by the polarizing figure of Nigel Farage. Tactical voting may play a decisive role in determining the outcome.
Voters are deliberating on the best strategy to prevent Reform UK from winning, reflecting a sense of uncertainty and tactical confusion. The upcoming by-election remains a key focus for political observers, with the potential for a close result that reflects the current political landscape.